Anti-vaxxers make conspiracy from coincidence
Special artist shines in two LARAC shows
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To show how unsuited Robert Kennedy Jr. is to be the country’s top health official, I’m going to describe some coincidences I’ve experienced.
After high school, I took a year off, and in the summer of 1978 went to Portugal to work in a hotel run by my aunt. Two of my many cousins, Susan and Amy, both from New York City, were there at the same time, and we had some fun together.
I left Portugal at the end of the summer, went other places and did other things, then went home to Saranac Lake. The summer of 1979, I traveled by bus to my first year of college at Stanford University in California, criss-crossing the country and hopping off at various places, such as St. Louis, Missouri and Santa Fe, New Mexico. As I stepped down from the bus in Santa Fe, I saw Susan and Amy. They, too, were doing some traveling and happened to be at that moment at the Santa Fe bus stop.
After college, I went to live and work for a year in Tokyo, the world’s largest metropolitan area, with a population in 1984 that exceeded 29 million. One day, while I was sitting in one of the city’s tens of thousands of restaurants, a friend from Stanford passed on the sidewalk, glanced in the window, saw me and joined me for lunch.
After I returned to the Adirondacks, I went down to New York City a few times to visit my cousin Chris. During this handful of weekend visits, I ran into friends from Stanford three times — once in the subway, once in the bus station and once late at night in the street, while I was walking and wondering where in the city this very friend lived.
All of these incidents are unremarkable, and I’m sure readers right now are thinking of their own more astonishing stories of coincidence.
Look at a coincidence from the perspective of an individual who just experienced it, and it seems improbable. But consider the context of the individual’s years of moving through a busy world at the same time as millions of others, with billions of events constantly occurring, and you see that coincidences are bound to be happening somewhere every second of every day, and a few of them will probably happen, sometime, to you.
This brings us to the federal database called the Vaccine Adverse Event Reporting System. VAERS is a self-reporting system, where people can describe any adverse medical condition, from arm soreness to liver cancer, they experience after receiving a vaccination.
The VAERS site does not limit the reporting period, so you can list ailments that arise the day after a jab or a month or six months afterward.
The reports serve as an early warning system, alerting authorities if a pattern arises that could possibly mean a problem with a vaccine.
The reports are not evidence of anything in themselves, any more than running into someone you know in a big city far from home is evidence you are being followed.
The reports are, in the vast majority of cases, either expected and minor responses to a shot, such as arm soreness, low fever and fatigue, or not a response at all but coincidence.
The VAERS site says this under the heading, “Guide to Interpreting VAERS data”:
“When evaluating data from VAERS, it is important to note that for any reported event, no cause-and-effect relationship has been established. Reports of all possible associations between vaccines and adverse events (possible side effects) are filed in VAERS. Therefore, VAERS collects data on any adverse event following vaccination, be it coincidental or truly caused by a vaccine. The report of an adverse event to VAERS is not documentation that a vaccine caused the event.”
This is what the site says under “VAERS Data Limitations”:
“Millions of vaccines are given each year to children less than 1 year old in the United States, usually between 2 and 6 months of age. At this age, infants are at greatest risk for certain medical adverse events, including high fevers, seizures, and sudden infant death syndrome (SIDS). Some infants will experience these medical events shortly after a vaccination by coincidence.”
In the anti-vaxx world where Kennedy is a leader, the VAERS reports are often a centerpiece of the argument. Using VAERS reports in the way the site says they cannot legitimately be used, Kennedy has called the COVID vaccine “the deadliest vaccine ever made.”
His arguments are specious, but many people, including local people, have latched onto them.
People get sick every single day, and some of them die. A case could be made for the deadliness of any activity — going fishing, attending a wedding, having scrambled eggs for breakfast — if the criteria was that sometimes people died afterward.
Retired pediatrician Kathleen Braico made the case for vaccines far better than I can in a guest essay we published last week. She fears a return to the days before vaccines when thousands of children were dying each year from childhood illnesses like measles. So do I.
In a community, we rely on each other to keep terrible diseases in check through mass vaccination. The more people choose not to vaccinate, the more likely the diseases will spread.
Kennedy has hurt many people with his distortions and lies, and that will get worse if he becomes the secretary of Health and Human Services.
We may not be able to stop him from being confirmed, but by getting ourselves and our children vaccinated, we can at least limit the damage he will do.
Joy
No creature in my life expresses more joy than our dog, Ringo. The way he wags not only his tail but his entire body when he comes to the door to see us or someone else he knows; the way he lifts his head and licks his nose while he’s being petted; and the way he squirms on his back in the snow while I pull him along by his harness are a joy to watch, as you can see in this video:
Art
LARAC has another great members’ show up now in Lapham Gallery in City Park. The quality and diversity (that dreaded word!) of the work is impressive. The show is up through Feb. 19.

Leena Kutti
I saw a print I really liked at a recent juried show at LARAC, and I bought it when I saw it was priced under $100. Here it is:

Another Kutti print was for sale at the current members’ show, with a similarly low price, and I bought that, too. In “Reunion Party” (above), I love the expressiveness of every one of the faces, each of them expressing their pleasure in the moment in their own unique way. I gave the artist, Leena Kutti, a call at her home in Washington County, and we talked for almost an hour about her horses, her artist friend Barry, her family and her discovery when she worked at a publishing house of a stash of Beatles photos and documents in the building’s basement. She was shy about her own art, because, she said, she hasn’t worked at it steadily for years (the prints are decades old), but I think it’s wonderful.
My husband has to start revaccinating in a couple of weeks (he had a cancer treatment called CAR-T which got rid of the cancer but also wiped out all of his vaccine immunity). In a different world I wouldn't worry about him not being vaccinated against polio, but today, with so many antivax folks out there I do. People also need to understand herd immunity and how there are people who can't vaccinate and who are vulnerable: we get vaccines to protect ourselves, but also our community
I beg to add context to your wonderful comments of this morning. It is so important to realize that RFK Jr is being considered by the Senate to head the Department of Health and Human Services (DHHS), an immense $1.8 trillion cabinet level branch of the federal government. And it is so impotrtant to consider what his candidacy may mean,
DHHS oversees the FDA, Medicare and Medicaid, NIH, CDC, and the Office of Infectious Disease and HIV/AIDS Policy (OIDP).Its mission is support public health oriented programs and basic science research, specifically including to prevent infectious diseases.
It is OIDP that oversees the National Vaccine Program, which provides strategic leadership and coordination of vaccine and immunization activities among all federal agencies. To think of an anti-vaxxer at the head of all these is scary beyond belief.
But consider too that, as its name suggests, OIDP provides the federal strategy designed to end the HIV epidemic. It oversees efforts to diagnose, to treat and to care for the infected, and also to prevent HIV infection in the first place. That includes research into preventative measures such as an HIV vaccine, which is currently in progress. In his current Senate hearings, RFK Jr has not said what his views on these HIV efforts are. But we can imagine. Because RFK Jr has the highly controversial, and in my view misguided and misleading, idea that HIV is not the underlying cause of AIDS. So I bet he will pull funding from HIV research and probably from clinical work too.
OIDP also overseas the US program that addresses the HIV/AIDS pandemic abroad. It is called the President’s Emergency Plan for AIDS Relief (PEPFAR). Already, the Trump administration has issued a “stop-work“ order to cancel all global health funding, which includes that of the PEPFAR program. Right now, clinics around the world that provided anti-HIV medications have suddenly become unable to do so. Millions of patients depend on these meds to stay alive. In other words, they will die without them…and within months to a couple of years. Not only that, but the unleashing of the virus in so many millions will quickly lead to its spreading far further. And kids will be born with untreatable infection.
I bet my Social Security income that RFK Jr will support this unconscionable “stop-work” death sentence for millions, will drop funding, and maybe will entirely stop programs in the DHHS. Safe bet. Because when he was running for president, he went on record saying that if elected, he would “give infectious disease a break for about eight years.” .He wasn’t talking about Daytona Beach: he meant by that he would ignore them.
Please know too that his anti-vaccine and HIV/AIDS garbage is more than just that. It has been powerful in helping to stoke the recrudescent fires of mistrust of medical and behavioral research, of science itself. Do we really want this guy in charge of the DHHS?
If you have any doubts, please consider this. Public health and infectious disease experts around the world predict that there s about 27.5% chance that another pandemic will strike us within 5 to 10 years. How will DHHS under RFK Jr - a notorious anti-vaxxer and HIV skeptic - work to prepare the US and the world for such a disaster? Wow…terrifying question.
All this is both so complicated and so important as to be mind numbing. Yet we citizens must wake up, look carefully at the real facts and science, not the misinformation being propagated by the Trump administration and RFK Jr. Then look too at the just plain destruction the Trump administration is so amazingly bringing down on national and world infrastructures designed to confront infections and minimize suffering and deaths. Then decide where we stand, where we fight.
Dear Will, thank you for for providing space for these comments.
But allow me one more: DHHS also helps to fund housing for detained undocumented minors and for the settling of refugees. You can imagine what will happen to those dollars, and you can imagine how I feel about that.